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Inflation, growth and crisis resolution in Europe

Macroeconomic analysis demands that a large quantity of statistics, often of questionable quality, be collated and processed.Therefore economists often resort to approximations in order to detect trends amid the fog of numbers, the primary sources being series of aggregated data.This approach leads to the conclusion that US households are over-indebted; but what would the picture […]

Alternative investments

It is a great pleasure to introduce this fifth Pictet Report, which draws on our second Alternatives conference held in Zurich in mid-September 2010. Now, as in 2009, we brought together a wide range of experts–both asset managers and investors–for two days of lively discussions and debate which are summarised in the following pages. The […]

Cocktail of inflation and currency tension for 2011

2010 has been quite an eventful year for investors – stock markets have been highly volatile and the economic landscape has been rocked by serious tremors, such as the crisis in Greece. Of course, in the circumstances, it would be comforting to able to inform investors and clients that we are about to witness a […]

Double decoupling in the global economy

Twelve months ago, we reviewed the major trends we thought likely to influence the global economy and financial markets in the next decade. One year on, it is time to reassess the situation. Pictet’s Strategy Committee met in mid-October to analyse and update our view of the structural framework for investment decisions in the coming […]

Focus on entrepreneurs

This report is about entrepreneurs and entrepreneurship. This unique group of business leaders employs millions of people and generates a substantial proportion of the world’s wealth. Entrepreneurs create successful companies that continue to grow and get passed down through the generations, often then becoming family-owned businesses. While having distinct advantages over public corporations, they are […]

Economic policy’s time has come

The rally in risky assets in September took us by surprise, since our basic macroeconomic scenario has been quite correct. Developed economies, led by the United States, have indeed slowed significantly in recent months. According to our route map, such a slowdown would lead to a new policy mix, including a second round of quantitative […]

Need for fresh reflationary policy mix

The government in Berlin is perfectly at ease with its rigorous deficit-reduction programme, since it regards the austerity medicine as good for growth. Germany’s Finance Minister,Wolfgang Schäuble, brimming with enthusiasm for the virtues of fiscal austerity, even offered his services to his US counterpart,Treasury SecretaryTimothy Geithner, to explain the wisdom of following what he referred […]

Uncertainties moving into extra time

Although the sovereign-debt crisis sent the price of the 2040 Hellenic Republic bond below the 50% mark, or under its level before the eurozone’s EUR750bn bailout package, it has barely impinged on US or Japanese government debt securities. At the time of writing, 10-year Japanese government bonds are yielding 1.10%, while benchmark 10-year US Treasuries […]

Government debt: a financial oil slick?

Financial analysts, pundits and commentators have long warned of the likelihood ofWestern governments running into serious budget deficit problems by 2020, chiefly as a result of the rapidly ageing populations in this part of the world.The financial crisis that flared up in 2008 has only hastened the beginning of serious budget financing problems. 2010 is […]

The family: governance and investment

We have great pleasure in introducing this third Pictet Report, which focuses on family governance and investment markets in the post-crisis era. These themes were discussed at a two- day informal symposium in the Swiss Alps which brought together families from around the world in late March this year. The following pages summarise a unique […]

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