Posts Tagged ‘europe’

Eurozone: gloomy monetary developments confirm risk of deflation

Monetary developments weakened further in December. The annual growth rate of eurozone M3 monetary aggregate slowed to 1.0% y-o-y in December after posting 1.5% y-o-y growth in November, below consensus expectations (1.7% y-o-y) and posting the lowest annual growth rate since September 2010. Meanwhile, lending to the private sector remained at -2.3% y-o-y in December, […]

Draghi speaks louder during ECB’s press conference

As expected, nothing concrete was announced yesterday. Nevertheless, Mario Draghi hinted at some interesting points, but it required reading between the lines. During the press conference the ECB president emphasised the central bank’s forward guidance. On several occasions he referred to the current low level of inflation and the risk of seeing this situation last longer: […]

Euro area: the Single Resolution Mechanism for the Banking Union is born

The Ecofin Council has finally reached an agreement on a general approach to a Single Resolution Mechanism (SRM) with the creation of a single decision body named the Single Resolution Board (SRB) and a Single Fund for the resolution of banks (SRF). The adoption of an SRM is a necessary element for the euro area […]

Germany and the rest of euro area exhibits an increasing divergence

Composite PMI: first increase after two month of decline In December, the flash euro area manufacturing PMI expanded by 1.1 points to 52.7, well above consensus expectations (51.9). By contrast, the flash euro area services PMI continued its downward trend by declining from 51.2 in November to 51.0 in December, below consensus expectations (51.5). As […]

Pictet is recognised as Best Private Bank in Europe

The 2013 awards, presented by Professional Wealth Management, a Financial Times publication, attracted entries from 103 banks in 45 countries. The panel of nine judges singled out Pictet as an example of a bank that is already devoting itself to improving its wealth management service and reinventing itself with the times.

Euro area: recession likely to prevail throughout the first half of the year

Manufacturing PMI worse than expected For the second month running, the manufacturing PMI showed a decrease. Indeed, the flash euro area manufacturing PMI dropped to 46.5 in April from 46.8 in March, below consensus expectations (46.7). By contrast, the flash euro area services PMI posted a slight rise of 0.2 point to 46.6 in April, […]

Cyprus bailout: a guide to the euro area’s future

The Cypriot parliament’s overwhelming rejection of the proposed levy on bank deposits has piled confusion upon uncertainty. In this note, we have looked back at the origins of the crisis, explored the kind of options left open to the authorities and pinpointed some of the consequences for investors. Origins of the crisis The attractiveness of […]

The ECB conducts a more cautious assessment

The tone during yesterday’s ECB press conference was slightly less upbeat than January’s. Accelerating disinflationary process, the impact of the euro’s strength, the fragility of confidence and the downside risks to the economic recovery, give the impression that the Governing Council has not closed the door for further easing measures. As we continue to be […]

Euro area: disastrous fourth quarter industrial production data confirmed

Euro area industrial production decreased in November, for the third month running, and reached its lowest since April 2010. Indeed, industrial production fell by 0.3% m-o-m in November, worse than the 0.2% m-o-m rise expected. The October figure was revised up marginally from -1.4% m-o-m to -1.0% m-o-m. Industrial production plunged for all periphery countries […]

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