Posts Tagged ‘carousel’

Financial repression reaches Cyprus

As the following chart shows, the growth in bank assets in Cyprus has become excessive as in Iceland, which caused a massive devaluation and capital controls that are still in place five years later. Although the talk is of taxation, what is really meant is the transfer of wealth from creditors to debtors, which is […]

Giving his voice to eradicate a mortal disease

Following his recovery from leukaemia in 1988, the celebrated tenor José Carreras created a foundation dedicated to the single objective of making the illness 100 per cent curable.

The commodities boom – a blessing in disguise?

Though some have roundly criticised the impact the commodities boom has had on the environment and sustainable development, the changes it implies might well turn out to be to Mother Nature’s advantage in the much longer run.

Industrial production in the euro area: disappointing figures in January

We maintain our forecast of a 0.1% q-o-q GDP contraction in Q1 2013 for the euro area as a whole, and respectively -0.5% (consensus: -0.1%) for 2013 and 0.9% (consensus: 0.9%) for 2014. Worse than expected Euro area industrial production fell by 0.4% m-o-m in January, worse than the 0.1% m-o-m decrease expected by the […]

The ABC of stock selection

In this video Alexandre Tavazzi, Head of Equity Research, explains the 3 key fundamentals driving efficient and rational stock selection.

United States: Surprisingly robust Q1 start for consumption growth

Following the tax hikes households faced at the beginning of the year (mainly on the back of the expiry of the payroll tax cuts), what happens to consumption in the first few months of the year is key for the US economic outlook.

Switzerland: GDP growth was surprisingly resilient in 2012

We are raising our forecast for Swiss GDP growth modestly in 2013 from 1.5% to 1.7%. Consensus expectations are currently much lower at 1.1%. Our forecast for 2014 remains unchanged at 2.0% (consensus: 1.6%).

Euro area: Disappointing monetary news

Today’s picture tends to confirm that, except for Germany and a few close trading partners, the economic outlook continues to be gloomy in the euro area. The annual growth rate of the euro area M3 monetary aggregate was almost unchanged at 3.5% y-o-y in January from 3.4% in December 2012, but above consensus expectations (3.2% […]

Germany: Rosy outlook for 2013 confirmed

-0.6% q-o-q growth confirmed in Q4 The second release of Germany’s Q4 GDP confirmed the first estimate of -0.6% q-o-q growth (-2.3% q-o-q annualised and 0.4% y-o-y). The result for the entire year 2012 remained 0.7%. Contraction essentially due to falling exports The breakdown of Q4 German GDP showed that the final consumption expenditure of […]

Gold: reaching the summit?

After 10 years of beating the S&P 500 every single year with the exception of 2012, we believe that gold has reached a summit and we decided to reduce our gold exposure in our asset allocation.

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